The market is doing exactly what any market would do under the same conditions. The problem is not in the behaviour of the agents. It is in the conditions in which the system works.
Portugal continues to have one of the lowest levels of construction per inhabitant in Europe. We produce about half of the houses needed to balance demand. And this happens not because of a lack of interest or capital, but because of a set of barriers that continue to hinder development.
Time-consuming licensing, complex bureaucratic processes, high construction costs, difficulties in accessing financing and inefficient territorial management are just some of the factors that limit supply. Added to all this is a housing policy that often acts more on demand than on the creation of new supply.
Encouraging buying without significantly increasing construction has a predictable effect: more demand for the same supply. And when that happens, prices go up.
Another critical point is the rental market. In Portugal, it remains underdeveloped and unattractive to institutional investors. There is a lack of stability, a lack of confidence and a lack of a tax framework that encourages the creation of a true long-term rental market, as is the case in countries such as Germany or Denmark.
At the same time, there are still solutions that have been discussed for years, but have been little implemented. The industrialisation of construction, the creation of planned urban clusters, the professionalisation of the sector and administrative simplification are clear examples of measures that could have an immediate impact.
The problem is not a lack of ideas. It is a lack of execution.
And as long as we continue to postpone structural decisions, the market will continue to function in the only way it can: with little supply and high prices.
Real estate is not just a reflection of the economy.
It is one of its engines.
And if we want sustainable growth, we have to start by addressing what we have known for a long time.














As shelter is surely a human right, shouldn't givernments at all levels be investing in and constructing affordable housing ?
By Harry Audus from Porto on 15 May 2026, 07:36
This is the problem with economics, detached from social issues. The housing market has been speculative for ages. Housing has been seen as investment, and led by private interests, and as it's a human need, easy to speculate. This article reflects that. Talking about a rental market as the German one shows how detached one is. That market is highly exploitative, only barely kept in check by (ineffective) laws. 2 in 5
owns a home in Germany, and the rental-housing lobbies keep pushing for less regulation, and if that does happen, this number will sink even further: houses become un-affordable and rents sky-rocket, because both mirror each other. How come depreciation doesn't play a part anymore on housing? A home bought for X, kept empty and later sold should NOT cost more than inflation added value, yet that is the reality. Old houses cost not only the inflation of property and construction costs, but also the greed of all those that invested and expected ever higher returns. Talking only in economic terms about the housing market is downright ignoring the damage that the non-social view of the private interests has done. I concede that a lot that has been said in this article is correct, what isn't is thinking that this is solely an economic thing, when it's not and that the rules of economy for housing markets are also different. I buy a car and drive it off the stand and it's immediately worth half it's price. I build a house and not only will it's price (practically only) go up, many factors will influence by how much. One of them in Portugal was foreign demand: it both drove prices up because buyers had more capital and also decreased supply. Where's the fairness in that for a person living with a Portuguese wage
By jose from Beiras on 16 May 2026, 15:23